Data Scientist (Superforecaster) | $245/hr Remote

At Crossing Hurdles, we work as a referral partner. We refer candidates to our partner that collaborates with world’s leading AI research labs to build and train cutting-edge AI models.

Position: Superforecaster

Referral Partner: Crossing Hurdles

Type: Hourly contract

Compensation: $140–$245 per hour

Location: Remote

Duration: Project-based

Commitment: 10-40 hours/week, flexible and asynchronous

Role Responsibilities:

• Deliver calibrated, evidence-backed forecasts on complex, real-world questions.
• Document forecasting rationale, methodology, and sources with clarity and structure.
• Participate in peer review and collaborative forecast refinement.
• Advise on prompt quality, scoring frameworks, and resolution criteria.
• Support the evaluation of AI-generated forecasts against human benchmarks.

Requirements:

• Recognized affiliation with a forecasting organization (e.g., GJP, Swift Centre, RFI, IIF).
• Demonstrated forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years.
• Experience contributing to high-stakes or public forecasting tournaments.
• Strong analytical, probabilistic, and written communication skills.
• Comfortable working independently and asynchronously on structured tasks.

Application Process: (Takes 20 min)

• Submit your resume
• AI interview based on your resume (15 min)
• Submit form